Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.408988 0.451299 0.496688 0.549095 0.608052 0.672459 0.748325
2025-07-20 0.343318 0.402357 0.470287 0.554639 0.657132 0.778338 0.933568
2025-07-27 0.305900 0.373186 0.454341 0.560255 0.696039 0.865900 1.097034
2025-08-03 0.277718 0.349793 0.440061 0.562719 0.727050 0.942475 1.251032
2025-08-10 0.256890 0.332500 0.430309 0.567950 0.759619 1.021549 1.414444
2025-08-17 0.233536 0.309213 0.409796 0.555587 0.765409 1.062601 1.526704
2025-08-24 0.220314 0.298081 0.404152 0.562344 0.797426 1.142313 1.702864
2025-08-31 0.205776 0.283733 0.392513 0.558895 0.813326 1.198619 1.848067
2025-09-07 0.194775 0.273405 0.385512 0.561161 0.837249 1.268361 2.021390
2025-09-14 0.182233 0.259846 0.372624 0.553141 0.843933 1.310723 2.152897
2025-09-21 0.171749 0.248556 0.362188 0.547813 0.853959 1.358685 2.298495
2025-09-28 0.158308 0.231928 0.342483 0.526171 0.835160 1.356170 2.352681
2025-10-05 0.152530 0.226816 0.340417 0.533130 0.865277 1.441190 2.580307
2025-10-12 0.146882 0.221546 0.337733 0.538816 0.893659 1.525932 2.818591
2025-10-19 0.141655 0.216574 0.335108 0.544232 0.921756 1.612505 3.071285
2025-10-26 0.136242 0.210942 0.330980 0.546614 0.944355 1.690677 3.316695
2025-11-02 0.131752 0.206531 0.328544 0.551671 0.972122 1.781220 3.600304
2025-11-09 0.124512 0.197140 0.317115 0.539719 0.966570 1.805183 3.740348
2025-11-16 0.121022 0.193853 0.315910 0.546252 0.997107 1.904890 4.065764
2025-11-23 0.116120 0.187883 0.309665 0.542917 1.007771 1.964230 4.304774
2025-11-30 0.112437 0.183812 0.306501 0.545108 1.029599 2.049224 4.617848
2025-12-07 0.107459 0.177223 0.298463 0.537354 1.030271 2.088065 4.821060
2025-12-14 0.103185 0.171669 0.291992 0.532203 1.035910 2.138400 5.061158